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Hiku said:

My prediction was XB1 > PS4 > NSW with the motivation that without a $199 PS4 deal in December, and interest in XB1X continuing to be strong as it was sold out in a lot of places in November, along with other XB1 deals, I could see it edge out PS4.

Switch did better than I expected though. In particular it had more stock than I expected.
I'm curious by the way, was Switch particularly supply constrained in November in USA?

no it wasn't.  december sales almost always double for nintendo, many people told me, but i didn't think it would work out for switch at 300$, i expected 1.1 million.