Will Monster Hunter World be a Mult Million Seller in Japan? (2mil+)

[Farsala]

Mnementh said:

Farsala said:

What about install base and attach ratios?

MH4 debuted with 1.7m (14%) on a 12.5m 3DS install base, this became as you say 3.44m (14%) on a 24m+ 3DS install base.

So MHW debuting with ~1m (16.6%) on a 6m install base would be bad? 1.5m (15-12.5%) LTD out of 10-12m is bad? Quite frankly 3m (30-25%) would be ridiculous, and close to impossible without major PS4 growth.

Big games that sell on themself usually bring their fans to buy the platform needed. Now MonHun has quite the jumps in sales, but platform seems less of an argument, except that it sells on handhelds higher than on home console. On the other hand, Tri was the last real test on a home console (there was a late port of MH3G to WiiU, but well, so many factors against good sales here), so maybe even that is irrelevant.

They only do that if they have the install base to begin with. FFXV is selling on par with other big FF games, but most of it is from the west now because PS4 install base was just too low for it in Japan.

Another thing: not a single PS3 game sold to 20% of the PS3s install base by the end of its life. Any PS4 game to achieve the same would be asking the impossible. And if it does happen, nothing short of miraculous.