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Kyuu said:
xMetroid said:

Considering Bayonetta go so popular, the Switch is oriented core gamers and games are selling extremely well there is no way it will sell under 2 million. On top of that, with Nintendo trying to push their eSport and the online subscription, there is no way they will not release Smash this year. Bayonetta will most likely be included in the game and it will be major publicity for the franchise. 

And we will see, MHW can be a major success but I don't think it will beat Horizon with it being an exclusive, got SO MUCH marketing from Sony and was praised by the critics, and yet the game didn't sell really well. I highly doubt MHW will do better than Horizon in the Eu/NA but it will have Japan to pick up the sales to a similar number.

I've noticed you actively do that so I'm gonna have to ask, why are you too quick to blame "marketing" for when a non-dudebro game sells well on PS systems as if mainstream games don't get any marketing at all?

Bayonetta is not as popular as you seem to think. Yes, Smash will help raise some awareness among the Nintendo crowd but nothing guarantees it to match Bayonetta 1's combined sales. You're just setting yourself up to be disappointed.


Metroid Prime 3 sold worse than Prime 1 on almost 5x the install base, why did SSBB fail to help it reach 2 million? Why does Metroid contentiously drop in popularity despite being a superb series? If Smash failed to meaningfully popularize a great long-standing Nintendo franchise such as Metroid, then what makes you confident that things will be THAT different for Bayonetta?

Ryng_Tolu said:

2 million would be awesome but 1.5 million looks way more realistic.

Metroid came out on Wii early on and we all know that install of the wii was in big majority casual gamers and families. There was 11 million units sold when MP3 came out and it failed to have legs as the console was selling over the time because it was just not the same consumer target. 

Also, the market evolved a lot now, with the rankings and social media, a game can easily get some "self promotion" when it gets great reviews online while during the Wii era no one knew about Metroid except core gamers and again they weren't the target audience of the wii. I don't remember seeing any ad for Metroid on TV for example where most of the ads were. 

Just seeing the difference of views Bayo 3 moved compare to the same type of teasers from the Wii u era, it shows good signs. The game will probably be critically acclaimed once again and with the Switch being so popular and games selling so well on it, I see Bayo 3 surpassing 2 million units. We are literally seeing Mario Odyssey crushing the other 3D Mario games in termes of sales and same for Zelda. I don't see why this trend of games selling incredibly well on Switch would stop at Bayo 3.