JRPGfan said:
Genos8 said:
I see some contradiction here. Do you think it has high chances to be up YOY in 2018 or that being in it's 5th year will greatly reduce sales? Can't go for the latter and then change to the former if it sells much less. I for instance think the ps4 will face a natural decline for being in it's 5th year AND it will be intensified by the switch presence. Without the switch I think it would fall to 17m but the switch should make it decrease to less than 13m.
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Okay this is stupid levels of prediction here.
I get your obviously not a Sony fan, but this is just extreme.
PS4 is still 299$ officially (and they went back up to that price really early in december, which is why its dec was down abit compaired to last years).
With official price cuts (249$ or 199$) and "God of War" "Spiderman" "detroit become human"...... theres no reason to think it ll go from 20.2m -> less than 13m.
My thinking is 2018 is a 18m year at worst, at best it might even be another 20m year.
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You are acting as if this is entirely on sony's hands and overestimating effects of price cuts this late. Price certainly helps but at this point in a system's life, it's more about slowing down a decline.
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