Genos8 said:
I'm clearly not gonna convince you. I'll wait for the numbers.
Switch was selling out fast (just not instantly) in US and Europe too. This is about the switch not having enough stock to affect others early on. The holiday quarter almost doubled the stock for the previous 7 months and that's when it begun to take away more sales from other systems. |
No, it wasn't. There's no denying the Switch's success, but to say it's suffered significant supply issues in the EU and US past the first few months would be flatly wrong. It sells out in specific places from time to time (as it standard for most consoles), but in general if you wanted a Switch you could easily acquire one. You'll notice that despite several supply apologies from Nintendo in the first few months of the Switch's life, they've said little on the topic since about anywhere but Japan.
You could argue that the Switch still had some supply strain parts of the west (e.g. shop A didn't get enough), but there's a reason people stopped making supply arguments in the sale discussion threads months ago. It's also highlighted by the Switch's sales curve for the year. If it'd maintained significant global supply issues until the holidays, we'd expect to see an abnormally sharp increase in sales as that supply opened up. As things stand, its curve has been fairly typical.
| Genos8 said: I see some contradiction here. Do you think it has high chances to be up YOY in 2018 or that being in it's 5th year will greatly reduce sales? Can't go for the latter and then change to the former if it sells much less. I for instance think the ps4 will face a natural decline for being in it's 5th year AND it will be intensified by the switch presence. Without the switch I think it would fall to 17m but the switch should make it decrease to less than 13m. |
That is a very, very bold prediction. Would you like to make a bet?
