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This may sound a bit unorthodox, but I'd say that out of all 3, Sony has most fate in their exclusives given that they are fairly certain that their hardware just needs to be powerful enough (for full 3rd party support) and have fair amount of good exclusives for "if you build it, they will come" approach when it comes to general audience.

Honestly, I don't even like most of their AAA exclusive IPs, but hats off to them.