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mZuzek said:
DonFerrari said:

The same predictions based on historic data that put Wii as a flop and WiiU as a success?

No, because this sort of prediction doesn't have enough concrete data to back it up. When a product has already been released, however, it's quite a lot easier to see how it's going to sell in the long run by analysing sales curves.

Also, pardon me for saying analysis is a human quality. A lot of animals can do it too.

During the first 6 months of both consoles mentioned there was no level of certainty that one would go 100M and the other 15M.

Current Switch sales data is insufficient to say it won't sell less than 50M, it is quite improbable, but not impossible yet.



duduspace11 "Well, since we are estimating costs, Pokemon Red/Blue did cost Nintendo about $50m to make back in 1996"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=8808363

Mr Puggsly: "Hehe, I said good profit. You said big profit. Frankly, not losing money is what I meant by good. Don't get hung up on semantics"

http://gamrconnect.vgchartz.com/post.php?id=9008994

Azzanation: "PS5 wouldn't sold out at launch without scalpers."