"The Nintendo Switch Is Selling Exactly As Fast As Sony's PS4" - Forbes

[DonFerrari]

Alby_da_Wolf said:

DonFerrari said:

Don't say that loud, I learned in VGC that Nintendo didn't kill Wii early, that the sales had declined too much AND THEN Nintendo started to shift dev time to WiiU.

 A winning choice! I can still see stellar WiiU sales along the y-axis of the complex plane!   

NPCmates said:

Clearly you are being sarcastic but it also shows you don't research this stuff much, psp did around 80mil while competing with the DS so yes it did well but Vita not very well so your statement is kinda hard to understand haha either way no one said they didn't do well?? not sure what you on about to be honest.

The simplest thing we get from PSP nice sales competing with the giant DS and PSV failing against the greatly weaker selling 3DS is that making a prediction in the portable market is anything but linear and easy. I see big analysis and prediction fails both in the Ninty fans and Ninty haters fields. The biggest fails I saw up until now, anyhow, aren't in subjective analyses and predictions, in those cases most of the times you can simply say a certain prediction is very unlikely, but in doing even very simplified and quick maths based on current available data (for example, with an average 100k weekly lead, it would take almost 11 years to fill a 57M gap).

No one ever accused Nintendo of making good choices on WiiU, right?

mZuzek said:

tbone51 said:

Im irrelevant confirmed

I guess you don't quite need an avatar to be relevant, but it makes it a lot easier. I can't even recall a prominent user without an avatar other than you and Soundwave.

Also, about the whole debacle earlier, I'm sorry if I offended anyone. I was only having fun with the first comment about avatars, so maybe I shouldn't have explained the whole mental process when asked about it, because I didn't actually mean it. Maybe I'm really a prick then, but whatever.

@PillerTriller lol, good one. I see the quality of your posts haven't improved with your new avatar.

Seriously though, this kind of stuff isn't an opinion. An opinion is saying you really like a certain game or think a certain movie is trash or whatever, not "I think this is going to sell under 50m". That's a prediction, not an opinion, and as I've already stated, when it comes to the Switch it's a wrong one. I'm sorry to break it down to you but the Switch is seriously, absolutely not going to sell below 50m unless some crazy scenario happens like Nintendo HQ being struck by a meteor or something. It's not exactly rocket science, it's called analysis (a process in which you look at previous trends to predict the future, it's very much a natural human quality) and right now if you analyse sales data for pretty much any previous console it is beyond obvious that the Switch will sell at the very least 60m. No console just starts off with 10m in 9 months (and no holiday season yet) and then suddenly drops down to 7m yearly sales or something, it's simply dumb to think something like that can happen.

If you're offended because I'm calling you dumb, I'm sorry but that's what you're bringing into yourself. Either dumb, or blinded by hate, or both - it's the only conclusion one can come to, really. But all human beings have the potential to improve, so I'm going to believe in you and hope that one day you won't be as toxic.

The same predictions based on historic data that put Wii as a flop and WiiU as a success?