"The Nintendo Switch Is Selling Exactly As Fast As Sony's PS4" - Forbes

[Alby_da_Wolf]

DonFerrari said:

Alby_da_Wolf said:
I don't think it will completely close the gap with PS4, but I'm quite sure that if Ninty will produce enough units and won't kill it early, it will reach huge numbers. Wii doesn't look out of reach, it sold more than 100M despite it was killed too early, and other consoles managed to outsell it, and even PS3 and XB360, competing with Wii and with Sony and MS being so clumsy with them, sold more than 85M, so with Ninty clearly trying to do its best with NS, 100M don't look unreachable. But unless PS4 sales suddenly plummet, closing the existing gap would take more than the time Ninty is willing to keep even a successful generation alive.

Don't say that loud, I learned in VGC that Nintendo didn't kill Wii early, that the sales had declined too much AND THEN Nintendo started to shift dev time to WiiU.

 A winning choice! I can still see stellar WiiU sales along the y-axis of the complex plane!   

NPCmates said:

HoangNhatAnh said:

Exactly, GBA/DS/3DS all failed to sell 40 million while PSP/Vita sold gangbuster. Wish DS/3DS can reach a fraction of PSP/Vita sales

Clearly you are being sarcastic but it also shows you don't research this stuff much, psp did around 80mil while competing with the DS so yes it did well but Vita not very well so your statement is kinda hard to understand haha either way no one said they didn't do well?? not sure what you on about to be honest.

The simplest thing we get from PSP nice sales competing with the giant DS and PSV failing against the greatly weaker selling 3DS is that making a prediction in the portable market is anything but linear and easy. I see big analysis and prediction fails both in the Ninty fans and Ninty haters fields. The biggest fails I saw up until now, anyhow, aren't in subjective analyses and predictions, in those cases most of the times you can simply say a certain prediction is very unlikely, but in doing even very simplified and quick maths based on current available data (for example, with an average 100k weekly lead, it would take almost 11 years to fill a 57M gap).