"The Nintendo Switch Is Selling Exactly As Fast As Sony's PS4" - Forbes

[DonFerrari]

Miyamotoo said:

Pillertriller said:

Nintendo Fans tending to forget that the switch had some huge Nintendo Games already. And even with those games it didnt manage to sell trough 10 millions faster than playstation 4 with almost nothing but 3rd Party games. Mario and Zelda and Splatoon wont come every year with a new Game to help the Switch for sales. The hype is almost over and sales numbers will you show that soon. Then Pokemon will sell a lot of switches, and after pokemon 90% of all Nintendo lovers already own the system and sales will drop big times, with only japan left were the switch will sell decent amount of switches

But you do realise that most of year Switch had huge supply problems and still have them in Japan for instance!? Mario and Zelda and Splatoon will not be released evre year but there will be other hevi hitters, and games like Mario and Zelda and Splatoon will sell Switch in folowing years also. Nothing suggests that hype is over or that sales will fail drop big time, how time goes Switch is becoming more popular console with evre new release. First you completely wrong assume that Switch are buying only Nintendo fans, and second you do realise that 3DS has installe base of around 70m.

Pillertriller said: 

Thats right, but like i wrote, most nintendo fans already bought a switch for these games

3DS has installe base of around 70m, so how exactly most Nintendo fans both Switch!? And like I wrote, its wrong to think that only Nintendo fans are buying Switch.

Pillertriller said: 

Of course they will sell more over the next months and years, and still most of nintendos biggest fans already bought a switch and these games. Nintendo doesnt have such a large base of fans like playstation. This is because ps offers a much bigger games library in every possible way. Nintendos fan base is much smaller, but much more loyal to they're brand of choice or more fanatic. They really buy everything from Nintendo good or bad it doesnt matter. From 20 millions switch sales will go down big big times. With some boosts from Nintendo Games

So how on earth, DS, Wii and 3DS all ended selling over 70m!? And it's wrong that Nintendo fans buy everything from Nintendo, look at some Nintendo Wii U or 3DS games that didnt sell well at all.

Pillertriller said: 

Definitvely, at least till the PS5 will launch. Next year the PS4 will again sell more than the Switch. So i dont see the switch catching up with the ps4

You do realise that Switch was launched 3.5 years after PS4 and that Switch will be active on market and after PS5 is out!? You dont know if PS4 will again next year sell more than Switch.

Pillertriller said: 

Its called the non nintendo sight

No, its calling anti Nintendo sight, you basically ignoring clear facts. You sound exactly same like people that predicted that Switch will end up like Wii U.

Since PS5 is no less than 2 years away, perhaps 3... it may even happen that Switch is either on decline or substituted by the time PS5 comes out if regular Nintendo pace happens.

Pok87 said:

tbone51 said:
This is my minimum prediction for years 2-4

Y1: 14mil
Y2: 15mil (full supply)
Y3: 16mil (pokemon+new sku)
Y4: 11mil
Y5: 9mil

Minimum 65mil lifetime

My prediction:

Y1: 14 mln
Y2: 15 mln
Y3: 18 mln (Pokemon + price cut)
Y4: 16 mln (Switch Pro)
Y5: 13 mln
Y6: 9 mln
Y7: 4 mln

So after 7 years will by around 90 mln NS on market.

That would be a pretty abnormal sales curve for Nintendo consoles or even HH. Nintendo is more frontloaded with year 2 or 3 being the peak and then a sharper decline.