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Wyrdness said:
Barkley said:

Doesn't work exactly like that due to launching in march. Launching in the holidays is like having your birthday at christmas, you'll never get as many presents as you would if they were seperate days. A launch boost and a separate holiday boost is bigger then just a single holiday launch. meaning comparing PS4's Nov13-Oct14 and Switch's March17-Feb18 isn't fine either.

We'll know as soon as one starts dropping behind by a large amount. If Switch consistently falls behind in 2018 to the point that the holidays looping round won't be enough to recover the gap. Then we'll know.

Analogy is flawed tbh as launching in holiday is better because far more people have money to spend during that period as opposed to any other time of the year. You get the launch boost and the holiday boost at once.

Not really. a console in high demand get's very small holiday boost, because launches tend to be supply constrained. ps4 had a million preorders 4 months before launch in north america. it was sold out with 24 hours, same thing for europe. PS4 had way more hype and pent up demand then switch and despite this, switch is actually doing very close to ps4 numbers at launch both launches were supply constrained and didn't meet demand except one launched at the holidays the other didn't