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mZuzek said:
DonFerrari said:

Nintendo fans on VGS are likely predicting Wii levels on the first 3-4 years and PS2 levels of tail to come with predictions that may end up being over 2:1 what the system will really sell.

It's not completely impossible - right now it is selling on pace with the Wii, and I think there's enough reason to believe Nintendo will support the system for longer instead of dropping it out of nowhere like they did with the Wii (because Nintendo always supports handhelds considerably longer than home consoles, and unlike the Wii, the Switch can play any sort of regular, traditional game without additional accessories, which means they don't need to restrict the kinds of games they want to make, which I think was ultimately the reason why they dropped the Wii so fast). With those things in mind, it's not out of the question that the Switch could sell up to 120m or even more... I just don't see it happening, though.

Exactly, Nintendo will actually managed Switch similar to 3DS with more different type of revisions and iterations and long life. That will be huge advantage over Wii.

 

Ariakon said: 
CGI-Quality said: 

I mostly agree here. However, I am happy to see Nintendo back on the map. This was once my go-to company for consoles, so see them strive with PlayStation is a huge deal!

The conclusion you guys come to seems the most likely. Switch is already at $299, which I think will hurt its legs in the long run as it will have less room to drop and therefore sustain momentum, and also the PS5 and Xbox 8K X - 3 are likely going to come out in 2 or 3 years which could also impact its trajectory a slight bit, but as a happy ps4 and Switch owner, I don't see why Nintendo doing well is a bad thing in any way. The two companies seem to cater to slightly different audiences (Ninty has more pull with family gamers, Sony with gamers in my age range) and one doing well doesn't influence the other too much (except in Japan, where there clearly is only still room for portables to perform exceptionally well). I typically prefer Sony's games, but there's plenty of room for Nintendo as an equal. Hell, MS can join too, if they ever get their exclusives situation sorted out. 

Well you need to consider that Switch will definitely have couple different types and revisions of hardware with difrent price points, smaller and cheaper Switch Mini is almost certain, maybe even Switch just for home play. Nintendo will managed Switch in that way similar to 3DS.