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It really depends on how long both sell for.
In example one, the PS4 ends at 100m after 6 (2019) years and the Switch carries on for another 7 years at 110m.
In example two, the PS4 ends up like the PS2 and sells for 10 (2023) and the Switch stops around 2021 and there is just not enough time for the Switch to catch up.

Does anyone realize that the PS3 can still be purchased new? That 4 years into the PS4... so, if you want we can necro bump this thread in 10 years and check... but that the same thing as me saying that the PS4 wins.