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gcwy said:
I think it will do around slightly less than GameCube numbers. I wouldn't say it will 'fail'. But the momentum is sure to drop like a brick after the holiday months.

I'm curious, how long did the Wii U keep its sales momentum going?

Wii U was launched in US on November 18, in Europe on November 30, and in Japan on December 8, I will not even mentione "sales momentum", Wii U start selling catastrophic right after launch and holiday season in January. And now you have Switch that still has great sales and still has stock problems on some markets (Japan for instance) 9-10 months after launch.

Just for the record, Switch will end up this year around 13m (that's 10 months of Switch on market) and will end up it first full year on market around 15m. Wii U LT numbers are 13.5m and GC LT numbers are 23m.

Also there is no reason to think that Switch sales will drop like brick after holiday beacuse Switch was selling great even before holiday season.