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Hiku said:

As it currently stands, I'm thinking XBO > PS4 > NSW.

Reason being that XBO seemingly came extremely close to PS4 last NPD (1.54m vs 1.4m), and that was when PS4 had the amazing 1TB $199 deal going on.
It does not have that right now, and I think the newly released Xbox One X should push XBO beyond PS4.

If something changes and PS4 gets another great deal like that, I'll change my prediction.
Or perhaps I'm overestimating the continued interest in XB1X.

No. And if you really think of it yur reasoning becomes more wrong the more you do.

XB1 came close to PS4 in November because of the XB1X. And not just that the machine was released that month, but because there were months of preorders for it that all came into effect in that same month. If 500k of the XB1 sales were the XB1X, that number is sure to plummet in December. And the PS4 $199 deal last for all of like a week. Cut short by stock. What makes you think they can't or won't do the same thing in december? 

Anyways I am going with PS4>NSW>XB1

I don't see the XB1 doing nearly as well as it did in November with no new hardware launch to drive sales. The NS should win as the hot new xmas gift item but could be as usual limited by stock. Which kinda means the PS4 will win by default.... this will be guaranteed if Sony does another $199 deal.