I'm thinking PS4>NS>X1.
Ps4 benefits tremendeously from black friday, so I think they've got this.
While Nintendo WILL have ample stock (otherwise they have no way of hitting their sales target for the fiscal year), and mario Odyssey will continue to push sales as well as it's 'hot new Item' perception, the fact theat they don't have any deals will let the ps4 pull ahead imho.
While the x1x apparently had a good launch it is still trailing the other two by quite a bit on amazon, and barring 1m+ launch numbers for what amounts to an iterative console I don't think it will be able to pull ahead. The price it too high to beat out Ps4s Black Friday princing and it doesn't have a killer app like Mario Odyssey to push sales either.
So there. Like others have said it's a tough one though and could go either way.
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