By using this site, you agree to our Privacy Policy and our Terms of Use. Close
Miyamotoo on 12 November 2017
Edit Thread
ryuzaki57 said:
Look at the facts : PS4 has a considerably larger and more varied library than Switch, with most 3rd parties considering PS4 audience as their priority target. How can Switch get even close to PS4 userbase in that situation? At best, Switch will attract most Nintendo fans, part of casual gamers who aren't playing mobile and part of the Vita crowd. Without major 3rd party exclusives, Switch sales may even slow down in 2018.

But same could be said for PS3 compared to Wii, and Wii ended up selling more than PS3/Xbox360. And now Switch is in quite difrent situation compared to Wii, Switch aiming handheld and home market in same time, also Switch has modern tech/architecture and much lower power gap compared to competition than Wii had, and those are things that will effect that Switch will have better 3rd party support than Wii had. Switch is selling great because of great Nintendo games and console itself (hybrid), not because 3rd party exclusives, so I dont get how sales could slow down in 2018. if Switch dont get major 3rd party exclusives.

 

Lawlight said:
Also, the OP is wrong. They plan on producting 25-30M, not ship. There was another rumour that said that they will produce 20M Switches this FY. Doesn't mean they will ship 20M Switches.

This 25-30m info is latest info based on latest Switch results, while that rumour of 20m is months old.

 

 

fatslob-:O said:

Easily PS4 ...

If we take a look at their first calendar year of shipments (Which means that we're going so far as to exclude PS4's first quarter!) the Switch already can't match the PS4 with the former expected to ship ~14.5M units at the end of this year while the latter shipped ~15.5M units in it's first full calendar year ...

What's more is Nintendo is only expecting the Switch to be upto par with 3DS in terms of shipments in similar timeframes and especially in a similar period where PS4 arguably had less incentives to be purchased in comparison to the Switch when most of it's AAA games were cross-gen titles where the said games already had abundant access to existing userbases ...

Once Nintendo releases the rest of their flagship franchises such as 2D Mario, Animal Crossing, Pokemon and Smash Bros it will become substantially harder to move hardware ...

I cannot envision a scenario where Switch will be able to have more than 4 strong years of hardware sales without the use of new IPs or the growth of existing IPs like we saw with the DS while in PS4's 5th calendar year in which there's a possibility where it could ship about 85% of what it did this year and the in it's 6th calendar year it could still have a relatively strong showing ...

In spite of the fact that the Switch has had stronger releases than it's predecessor, it is only expected to match it's predecessor first fiscal year in the given similar timeframes, probably still can't match the PS4 in it's first year and then there's a high chance that hardware revisions won't be as plentiful for the Switch in comparison to it's predecessors ...

Nevermind the idea of Switch beating the PS4, it has to first show that it can at least match it!

Its very hard to compare first PS4 FY and first Switch FY because of two reasons, first PS4 was launched during holiday season while Switch was launched in March, and second Switch most of time until now was supply constrained and still is in Japan for instance. So it will be much more accurate and more interesting to compare sales of full second year on market and based on that draw some conclusions.

Once Nintendo release 2D Mario, Animal Crossing, Pokemon, Smash Bros...they will start releasing new 3D Mario, new Zelda, new Mario Kart, new Pokemon, new IPs, some strong 3rd party exclusives...you forgetting that Switch is becoming only platform that Nintendo will support and they will not have any more deviaded resources on separate handheld and separate home console games, that automatically means much better support and much better managing of key and strong titles during evre year compared to past platforms.

Also, Switch like only Nintendo platform, will have few revisions (similar to 3DS family) that will further increase sales, so Switch platform can easily have more than 4 strong years, and actualy I think life span of "Switch family" will be quite long.