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DonFerrari said:
DélioPT said:

To be honest i didn't think about numbers. Those were already too high...
More than 25m next year really seems to high when you take into consideration how they already sold the console to Mario, MK, Zelda and Splatoon fans. What's left is AC and Pokémon fans (talking about the heavyweights).

That's why i can only think of 4 things (a mix is also possible): price cut; new model; Pokémon and a bunch of system selling IPs; some new tech they are yet to reveal.
Even then, it's got to be a few things mixed together to reach those results.

I have no issue with Nintendo selling 30M (althougth I think that is very far to reach, and people saying Nintendo is confident is also a little conflitant because the amount the launched and the production rate didn't show a lot of confidence).

My only question is people thinking it makes sense for Nintendo to produce 30M and sell less than 20M in a year.

I think 20M is more likely and even that is quite aggressive for a second year.

Miyamotoo said:

To prevent possible droughts, also they itself said they planning to produce more units than they intend to ship, also 5m for system thats popular and thats sell is nothing.

If they need to produce 25% more than they can sell just to prevent droughts then Nintendo really is bad at planning inventory and reading the market and determine demand.

They producing more than they can or will ship is quite different than produce excessive inventory just to met unrealistic production.

That lower production rate was not because of a lack of confidence, but rather shortages in parts they couldnt do much about.

 

And in general,e veryone is reading to much into this, its probably just a PR statement to make shareholders more satisfied. They will probably realistically make 15-20 million units, not much more than that.



Bet with Intrinsic:

The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.