DonFerrari said:
I have no issue with Nintendo selling 30M (althougth I think that is very far to reach, and people saying Nintendo is confident is also a little conflitant because the amount the launched and the production rate didn't show a lot of confidence). My only question is people thinking it makes sense for Nintendo to produce 30M and sell less than 20M in a year. I think 20M is more likely and even that is quite aggressive for a second year.
If they need to produce 25% more than they can sell just to prevent droughts then Nintendo really is bad at planning inventory and reading the market and determine demand. They producing more than they can or will ship is quite different than produce excessive inventory just to met unrealistic production. |
That lower production rate was not because of a lack of confidence, but rather shortages in parts they couldnt do much about.
And in general,e veryone is reading to much into this, its probably just a PR statement to make shareholders more satisfied. They will probably realistically make 15-20 million units, not much more than that.
Bet with Intrinsic:
The Switch will outsell 3DS (based on VGchartz numbers), according to me, while Intrinsic thinks the opposite will hold true. One month avatar control for the loser's avatar.