sc94597 said:
It is too early to make such claims like that. This is for the same reason that saying, "how can the world be warming, there was a really bad snowstorm each of the last three years? is poor logic. Associating local events with global trends is hard. Just wanted to highlight that, because saying "look at hurricane [Harvey, Maria, Irma]" is not the best argument, as it is pretty unclear the extent to which warming increased their intensity and with climate change there will be regions of the world that get less precipitation -- if you focus on local events to support global trends, the people live in other local realities become hyperskeptics. "A draft report on climate science conducted by 13 federal agencies as part of the National Climate Assessment said models showed the number of very intense storms have been rising as a result of a warmer world. But the trend has yet to rise above normal variation. The report also said that scientists are better able to attribute weather events to climate change than they used to be, but linking individual events to climate change is more complicated. The scientists we spoke to about Hurricane Harvey expressed a similar challenge." |
"it is pretty unclear the extent to which warming increased their intensity"
But global warming does in fact amplify their intensity, yes?
"if you focus on local events to support global trends"
Luckily, I don't believe I did. I believe I pointed to a global trend to explain local events.
