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I have my doubts about this one. PS3 hardware will get a sizable boost from MGS4 to help it easily claim the month of June, but software releases generally do not caused sustained legs in the hardware department (Halo 3). Usually only price cuts do that, and I don't foresee any, PS3 or 360, until at least the holidays.

It is of course possible that PS3 could pull it off, I just don't believe it's a foregone conclusion. Once the holidays hit I think the edge goes to the 360 because its releases are more diverse and I think Gears 2 is generally more highly anticipated than Resistance 2. We've certainly seen more about it recently.