PS5 Will Release Early 2019 (Opinion)

[JEMC]

gcwy said:

(...)

The reasons for that, even excluding how well PS4 is doing right now, are mostly down to hardware. (...)

AMD just had their CPU roadmap leaked a few days ago and it mostly confirmed everyone's suspicions, Zen APUs starting in early 2018, one revision of the same architecture somewhere around 2019 and Zen 2 APUs in late 2019/2020. The longer they wait the better, especially since the mid-gen refreshes mitigated the long console gens that everyone hates, now they can relax and think their strategy through.

*roadmap*

I agree that hardware is the main problem for an early 2019 launch, but in my oponion it's more because of the GPU part rather than the CPU.

Both Scorpio and PS4Pro feature a Polaris 10 (RX 480/580) part, with some Vega enhancements, and that's the best AMD has on offer right now in the mainstream segment, which is the one Sony would look for unless they want to launch a more expensive PS5. There are rumors that AMD may have Vega 11 to replace Polaris 10, but given how Vega 56 performs, the jump in performance from such part would be very small if at all.

Given that Vega 20 will only be a refresh on a smaller node, and will launch late next year, we'll have to wait for Navi to see real improvements and something worth a new gen of consoles.