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Tmfwang said:
Its pretty wierd how the percentages of people voting Nintendo, Sony and MS, are the same as in the «Which company are you a fan of» thread that was here recently XD

In this case, it seems fairly representative of the probabilities, though. XBONE obviously not, but both Switch and PS4 have a good chance, slight edge to Switch, since it appears that it was the first month in which stock is abundant, so a bit of backlog-purchase should be expected.



Bet with PeH: 

I win if Arms sells over 700 000 units worldwide by the end of 2017.

Bet with WagnerPaiva:

 

I win if Emmanuel Macron wins the french presidential election May 7th 2017.