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I would encourage those who are bearish on the Switch's chances in this contest to compare NPD sales between the two systems in question. The short version is that the Switch is probably close to 2 million after 6 months; a comparable amount of time after launch, the 3DS was still under 1.5 million and had already had its price cut to $170. It started selling better after the cut of course, but the Switch is putting up similar monthly numbers to post-price cut 3DS at nearly double the price!

Anyway I don't really care for making long-term predictions like this. I guess around 2022.

RolStoppable said:
Will have to target ~75m (probably a bit lower), so Switch for calendar years with rough estimates:

2017 - 10m

I hope they'll be able to ship more than that this year. The Holiday shortages will be crazy if their stock is that limited.