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ryuzaki57 said:
Symbios63 said:

User bases

Vita : 5.696.448 (45%), Switch : 1.578.036 (12.5%), PS4 : 5.276.853 (42%)

NoA2 FW sales

Vita : 7168 (24%), Switch (15%) : 4463, PS4 : 18207 (61%)

I don't think you chose the best example to illustrate your point here. Switch number are pretty much as expected based on total NoA2 sales and user bases.

Sorry but the user base argument isn't telling absolute truth. Look, if the user base is directly linked to sales figures, then why did NoA2 PS4 sell half of the first one, released when PS4 user base was much lower? Why did this week's Etrian Odyssey sell so much less than past episodes while 3DS user base is at its zenith? Why did NoA2 Switch sell 10 times less than NoA1 did on PS4 when PS4 user base was more or less equivalent to Switch's now?

Besides, how do you know the 5m Vita user base is 100% active users? It's an old system, it surely has much less active users now, while Switch is recent and probably every switch owner is using it.

See, there is no linear mathematical link between user base and sales figures, there are so many more more important factors.

Oh sure, it is not telling absolute truth. It is not what I said though...

In your post, you used ratio of NoA2 sold on switch (13% based on famitsu number) to suggest Switch owners are not interested in Gust games (which may be true, we just don't know yet). The thing is switch is still hard to find in Japan, and Gust game audience is probably not the most likely to rush on a nintendo product at launch. So user base may still have an impact in this case.

I do believe that switch will build a better audience for those kind of game compared to previous Nintendo system, and NoA2 sales, as bad as they are overall, are certainly not telling me otherwise (if the game sold 50k on PS4, 30k on Vita and 4k on switch, you might have a point). They are not conforting my point either, they are just, as mentionned previously, in line with what you could expect so early in the console lifespawn for a bad selling game.

Therefore those sells are not a good support for the strong conclusions you drew in your previous post IMO.