What % off next-gen console owners actually own multiples? Bad science?

[Bodhesatva]

Mifely said:

Bodhesatva said:

Mifely said:

That's conjecture. In my experience, these studies usually are more precise. I would wager that 3% own exactly 2, and 2% own exactly 3. But again, that's conjecture just the same. ANd the article DOES say what I stated, and not what you're assuming. Why are you asking me to read it once again?

Its a shame no one has the entire study and can post the real info, not just the culled crap from Gamasutra.

No, it does not say what you're stating. It.does.not. Let me quote the relevant portion, for your ease or reading:

Finally, NPD says only three percent of respondents said they owned two of the three next-gen consoles, and only 2 percent said they owned all three.

Does it say anywhere that 3 precent own only two of the three consoles? No, it does not. Therefore, it does not say what you're stating. Given that most statistics are inclusive (both in my experience, and by reason: it's extra work and math to make such statistics exclusive), it is much more likely this is an inclusive statistic.

 

It doesn't specify that either conjecture is true... but the headline does imply that you are correct, and not I. Let's take that into consideration, and get to the meat of this discussion, rather than arguing about english, and the brilliance of the media. Math is what's relevant here.

3% of 95 mil households in the US ==

2.85 mil

2/3rds own 3, 1/3 owns 2, according to the new conjecture.

5.7 million consoles owned by "triple owners"... 1.9 million owned by "double owners" == 7.6 million

28.67 - 5.7 - 1.9 =21.07

+ 2.85 == 23.92 million next-gen console households

2.85 / 23.92 == 11.91%

 

Still a lot higher than "5%" or "3%", but perhaps not as sigifigant?

 It's still relevant, I don't mean to discredit your work here, Mife. I would conjecture the following:

1) This percentage will decrease over time. Hardcore players are early adopters, and early adopters are more likely to own multiple consoles.

2) This percentage will be higher this generation, due to the distinctions between the Wii and PS3/360. Particularly, I expect dual-console ownership to increase.