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Well... the Switch itself looks to be sucessful so far. But, what is it? For a home console it's doing well. For a portable it's doing expectadly. But what does it mean to the Nintendo overall market?

If Nintendo comes out with another portable then it's safe to say that the switch is a sucess over the Wii U. But if this is all that Nintendo is releasing, it may represent a continued drop in size of the Nintendo market (home console + portable).
If the switch is the only system, it will have to be compared to WiiU+3DS to measure how sucessful it really is for Nintendo.