Green098 said:
So... if the Switch sold 40 million in it's 1st year, you'd still see it as a complete failure? 10 million off 50 million is still a pretty big gap to be considered close, although you never know, even then maybe the lawsuit will take place and ban Switch sales. I mean I get your point, and yes my example was overexaggerated to point out it's flaw, but I think if it's selling at fast pace comparable to 3DS or even PS4 at times, it's safe to also look at that too, instead of waiting potentially 3-4 years. |
My statement was more about that I do not consider it anything until it reaches that number. I never trust early numbers. I always knew Switch will sell very well in its first 12 months. But the market is not the same as it was 5 years ago, at least I hope so.
Nintendo consoles have a history of fizzling out fast. While the 3DS is still selling well it hasn't even reached 70m and even that it only reached thanks to multiple iterations in its life and lots and lots of double dipping. From Logic alone, if Nintendo's market hasn't shrunk, 50m should be the absolut minimum and 70m should be their lowest goal.
It has a good chance of reaching 50m LT if it has multiple iterations but 70m is a tall order.
It should also be noted that my thoughts on this are fueled by a lot of hope and optimism on my side so they are highly biased.
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