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CartBlanche said:
derpysquirtle64 said:

You are definitely right about Sony selling more consoles than MS this holiday season. I didn't even doubt this. I've argued about your 3:1 ratio by mid-2018. Which won't happen at all. Even by the end of this generation, Sony won't be able to outsell Xbox 3:1. Also, you seem to forget that Xbox is doing almost 1:1 in the US, the biggest console market, so they will sell a lot of consoles this holiday season there as well. So, your argument about Mary going to buy baby Jesus his first console works for Xbox as well. At least in US. They've got a huge marketing which will help them a lot.

The US is NO longer the largest console market, Europe is!! If we just look at data from VGC as of June 3rd week, Europe sold 246,000 console units while the US sold only 162,000!! It's not even close. For that week alone PS4 outsold Xbox One 6:1 in Europe. 

So Xbox One will continue to sell in the US, but it won't be enough to offset the sales that will spike in Europe and Japan once the PS4 price drop hits in November-December.

 

Also the gap in the US between PS4 and Xbox One is 2 million units right now and weekly sales for June are nearly 2:1 in favour of PS4 in a traditional Xbox territory! That should start worrying Xbox followers that Microsoft isn't doing much to change this in their "home territory". Sony don't have that problem in Japan.

Are you sure Sony can't get to 3:1 by mid 2018 to  early 2019? Especially if XbX sales drop off due to low demand for a "luxury" console??

Yes, Sony cant' get 3:1 by mid 2018. The reason is the gap isn't big enough for them to achieve this. Xbox One sold enough units to not make this possible even probably by the end of the generation. And also, of course the holiday season. Xbox never sells great in the first half of the year. They will definitely shrink the gap this holiday season. By mid 2018 they will sell 40m consoles or maybe little bit less. Do you think that Sony will sell 120m PS4s by then. How will they manage to double install base in just a year? Do you really believe it is possible? They need to drop PS4 Slim price to 100$ maybe to achieve this in such short time.