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Turkish said:

XB1 is gonna win Nov and maybe Dec NPD, that's gonna be a success at least.

d21lewis said:
I think they went on record and said something like 50,000 this year. Or maybe it was 500,000.

Thats impossiburu! It's def gonna sell more than 500k this year, maybe a million or 2-3. Sales of this thing wil be very frontloaded, all the hardcore fans will get it at launch.

fleischr said:
Simple - it has to significantly bump Xbone sales up YoY for an entire year or more.

Currently Xbone is down YoY a lot.

Unfortunately, I expect it to end up like the XboneS, do amazing for awhile, and then tank.

I'll try to find where I read 50,000 (it was it 500,000) at two or three million is probably impossible. I'm gonna buy one but it's marketed to a very select market:

-Xbox fans. Possibly the smallest group of fans amongst the "Big 3"

-Xbox fans with 4K TVs. An even smaller group.

-Xbox fans with 4K TVs who are willing to pay over twice as much for a graphical boost in games that run absolutely fine on PC and normal Xbox Ones.

 

The XBO X isn't just competing with other consoles. It's competing with PC and itself. Anybody expecting it to sell millions is setting themselves up for disappointment. And if Microsoft publicly said such a high number, they've set themselves up for ridicule.