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CartBlanche on 02 August 2017
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derpysquirtle64 said:
CartBlanche said:

Let me be clear that hard-core gamers and gamers who love to have the latest console system will buy the X1X, but hard-core gamers are not the bread and butter of console sales, aka the masses. With the economic downturn, when Mary goes to buy baby Jesus his first console this holiday season, she won't care what it looks like on 4K compared to High Def. She'll just care about the bang for buck. So that brings it down to Xbox 1 -slim and PS4 Pro or slim in terms of features and price. Due to Sony having close to 70million gamers by November/December and a wider variety of console exclusives, my money is that Mary is going to buy Jesus a PS4 variant.

PS. I'm not religious, I just picked the names for festivity relevance.

You are definitely right about Sony selling more consoles than MS this holiday season. I didn't even doubt this. I've argued about your 3:1 ratio by mid-2018. Which won't happen at all. Even by the end of this generation, Sony won't be able to outsell Xbox 3:1. Also, you seem to forget that Xbox is doing almost 1:1 in the US, the biggest console market, so they will sell a lot of consoles this holiday season there as well. So, your argument about Mary going to buy baby Jesus his first console works for Xbox as well. At least in US. They've got a huge marketing which will help them a lot.

The US is NO longer the largest console market, Europe is!! If we just look at data from VGC as of June 3rd week, Europe sold 246,000 console units while the US sold only 162,000!! It's not even close. For that week alone PS4 outsold Xbox One 6:1 in Europe. 

So Xbox One will continue to sell in the US, but it won't be enough to offset the sales that will spike in Europe and Japan once the PS4 price drop hits in November-December.

 

Also the gap in the US between PS4 and Xbox One is 2 million units right now and weekly sales for June are nearly 2:1 in favour of PS4 in a traditional Xbox territory! That should start worrying Xbox followers that Microsoft isn't doing much to change this in their "home territory". Sony don't have that problem in Japan.

Are you sure Sony can't get to 3:1 by mid 2018 to  early 2019? Especially if XbX sales drop off due to low demand for a "luxury" console??