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Either never or late 2020 ...

1. Microsoft doesn't provide numbers anymore ...

2. We don't know about the average production cost of the Switch ... (we only have an estimate)

3. No one in the industry can depend on transistor technology to make chip production cheaper until a new lithography technology emerges ... (that's not until late 2018 with Samsung where they'll use it but not until 2020 where it becomes highly cost productive to do so)

4. Still too little data on the Switch as of yet ...

5. It's a bad idea to make comparisons between the annual sales of home consoles and portables when the former has arguably grown in market lifespan ... (7/8 years vs 5 years, it's no coincidence that the longer lifespan in
home consoles is observed in tandem with the slowing down of moore's law)