Will Xbox One pass 50 million?

[freedquaker]

curl-6 said:

The system currently stands at 29 million according to VGChartz numbers, after 3 and a half years on the market.

Do you think it will end up selling more than 50 million lifetime, and why/why not?

That depends on the number of years it will stay on the market. But there are a few very likely facts.

1) It will sell less than X360, PS3, or half of PS4, but more than Original Xbox and Gamecube combined.

2) If it continues to sell at current pace, XB1 and XBX combined will have sold between 61 and 68 million by 2020 (roughly doubling the current number)

3) This will be somewhat below half of the PS4 (and PS4pro) numbers estimated to have sold between 124 and 136 million by 2020

XB1 sales estimates by the end of each year

By the end of 2017: Between 36 and 42 million
By the end of 2018: Between 47 and 51 million
By the end of 2019: Between 56 and 61 million
By the end of 2020: Between 61 and 68 million

So it should pass the 50 million mark between late 2018 and early 2019, and 60 million mark between late 2019 and early 2020.