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Did it peak in 2016? Will it peak in 2017? Or 2018?

I think it will peak in 2018. I don't see an official price cut to $199/$299 this year, bundles and temp price cuts will carry the system this holiday. I think with a well timed official price cut next year coupled with big impact games like GoW, Spiderman and RDR2, 2018 will be its best year. These games will be bigger system sellers than sequels to Destiny and SWBF because they're new entries this gen. Gran Turismo, more than ever with Sport, is an evergreen title that will continue being a system seller next year.