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thismeintiel on 26 June 2017
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Lenny93 said:
Barkley said:

You know Sony forecast 78m shipped by march 2018 right?

You know that for sales to consumers 2017 is the fastest start to the year ps4 has ever had right? 7m in the same timeframe it sold only 5m in it's current peak years.

So with 18m shipped this year, and it being on track to be the peak year for ps4 sales to consumers... I'd very much like to hear how you expect PS4 to ship only 12m for the remainder of it's life after March 2018.

Oh while I'm at it I'll bring up another prediction you made yet again, and maybe that'll give you some perspective on your predictions.

Playstation fans are living in a dream world. Horizon won't sell any more than 3 million max.

Playstation 4 sells will taper off in 2018. Shipped does not equal sold through. They will ship half that amount (9 million) in the 2018-2019 financial year and 5 million in the next one after that, so 92 million to be precise.

According to Wikipedia it has sold 3.4 Million by the end of June, I underestimated it a bit, it will probably exceed 4 Million when it's all said and done. But the other point in that post was to assert that BOTW would sell more, which it has, on a far smaller install base.

Shipped does not equal sold through, but they are never usually more off than 2M, unless it's the holidays.  You can't force stores to take your product.  And yes, sales will taper off, not plummet like you predict.  In 2018, the PS4 is going to be $199 and the Pro $349.  That's going to prevent it from selling less than 14M for the fiscal year.  In 2019, it may be $149, with the Pro definitely being $299. That'll prevent it from selling less than 12M for the fiscal year. After the PS5 launches, yes, sales will go down further.  However, with it being so cheap and having plenty of cross gen games, I can see it doing at least 15M for 2-3 years it's still on shelves after the PS5 is out.