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binary solo said:
Not totally sure it ever will. PS4 is lagging in a launch aligned comparison by about 11 million, on VGC (full year sales to end of 2016 for PS4). While Wii dropped like a stone after year 5, Wii's 5th year was basically equal to PS4's current top year. At this rate PS4 will need to have serious legs to get to 100 million. I expect PS4 to peak in annual sales this year, or possibly to be past its peak already.

If it's going to make it past Wii I'd say 2021 or '22

By the end of FY2017/2018, the PS4 would be at 78M shipped if Sony's forecast is met, the Wii lead would be trimmed that 11M lead by 3M to 8M.

5th fiscal year:

Wii: 15.08M

PS4 forecast: 18M


6th fiscal year:

Wii: 9.54M

PS4: 

 

7th fiscal year:

Wii: 3.99M

PS4:

 

8th fiscal year:

Wii: 1.22M

PS4: 

Personally, I don't foresee the PS4 dropping as quickly before the PS5 is launched.