the problem with claiming the wii will beat ps2 sales is that the life cycle is really not understood. i admit it has the chance to make it, but too many things prevent anyone from actually knowing.
hype: the wii is hyped now, but how long will it be? will people be content with playing it at other houses, or will they buy it themselves?
games: do enough people care about the games on wii over others to choose wii. right now yes, but are people waiting for the ps3 (not 360) to come down in price for singstar and buzz? or are they waiting for ff13 or gt5?
third parties: how much sense does it actually make for devs to keep making wii games? even if they do/dont, will it affect sales?
first party: will nintendo reduce their output when they launch a new handheld? will the handheld launch soon? will that affect the rate of sales?
lifecycle: when does nintendo stop trying to support the wii? will they try and draw out its life, or just move on? if they abandon it, will there be third parties to continue it?
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