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There's honestly no way to accurately predict right now.

EDIT: The best selling MH on 3DS sold approx 4m. Selling only 1m less than that across all platforms I think would be seen as pretty good.

Selling even less, though. I don't know.

My guess is that this will obviously be the best selling western Monster Hunter but the worst selling japan monster hunter. So my hack-kneed preditction is 2.5m physical units, just above the Wii version.