Predict When will Ps4 Outsell Wii

[JRPGfan]

Kristof81 said:

JRPGfan said:

Last NPD data we have is from April 2017.

SWI: 280k
PS4: 201k - 229k
XB1: 127

April YoY (year on year):

PS4 +23.0%

XB1 -25.3%

 

Also I believe it was up, every other month of 2017 as well.

How can sales have "stagnated" if their higher this year, every month so far, than last years?

Excuse my poor choice of words. By "kind of stagnated" I meant that so far in this calendar year, we don't see those crazy total YoY growths as we used to. Mind you, we just passed month four (data wise), so it might mean nothing, but the trend is quite obvious, as seen below.

Year	January	February	March	April	Total	Average	YoY	Growth
2014	780,051	1,013,374	953,923	617,299	3,364,647	841,162	NA	NA
2015	696,215	965,093	1,368,318	764,815	3,794,441	948,610	429,794	12.77%
2016	909,242	1,180,757	1,277,421	699,414	4,066,834	1,016,709	272,393	7.18%
2017	1,020,013	1,092,665	1,312,748	809,423	4,234,849	1,058,712	168,015	4.13%

 

I dont expect massive growth this year.

Last year total console sales (not shipped) was around 17.6m right? with something like 20m+ shipped.

So lets assume it does 5-10% more this year only.

That ll still put it in the 18m-19m+ range (sold through).

A few years like that, and it ll be over 100m.

Even if next year 2018, sales slow down from 18m of 2017, to say.... 15m... that ll put it pretty damn close.

By 2019 march, it should be around 92-94m or so (shipped).

End of holidays 2019, it should be over 100m.