Myth: Nintendo needs to have big surprises at E3 or they're doomed

[Miyamotoo]

DélioPT said:

Miyamotoo said:

Not always, but they changed their approach last few years, they several times said they don't intend to announced games that can't be out few years, and we already saw they anncuing and relasing games in less than a year. Like I wrote different approaches, Nintendo could easily choose to show lotsa 2018. games on E3 but instead they said they will focus on 2017. games.

 

Best GC year in sales was 2. year of GC on market (FY year that ended Mar 31, 2003.), and GC sold 5.76m in that best year. Switch will most likely just in 1st year on market sell around 10m. Like I wrote, Switch is selling better than GC in same time, and GC never had sucha demand that Nintendo couldnt keep up with it, and Nintendo very clever scheduled their big and stronger games, so that we have one stronger or bigger Nintendo game every month. Also what's different with Switch compared to GC is that Switch is also handheld in same time, so it's basically aiming at handheld market in same time. Offcourse there will be good support next year too, Fire Emblem, Retros game, Next Level Games game, Animal Crossing, Pokemon, Smash Bros, Pikmin 4, some other Wii U remasters, some new games...all are possible for next year.

http://vgsales.wikia.com/wiki/Nintendo_GameCube

 

 

Actually it means, bigger user base means more 3rd party games compared to small user base if we talk about same platform. Wii actually had probably best 3rd party support for Nintendo console from SNES.

On Switch 3rd parties could actually have much better sales compared to past Nintendo consoles because now they can played them in full handheld mode also and thats for some people game changer.

Of course they are going to say that! It's PR spin; They are not going to admit that they have enough to show.
Just look at E3 2013 and E3 2014 and you'll see that, in terms of new announcements, they showed more games coming next year, than games coming the current year.
They didn't do that during E3 2015 because they had nothing to show, so, they changed their PR speech - damage control!

My Switch vs GC comparison was to show that when you fail at keeping momentum, sales fall. And so far, Nintendo hasn't shown that they will be able to keep that momentum, not in terms of quality, but also in terms of quantity.

You make a list of games that Nintendo simply hasn't announced or hasn't announced for 2018.
Is more of a "i want it to be true" than "it's a fact".

The question isn't just about the amount of games a userbase can bring, but if it can bring the heavyweights.
Wii showed that despite it's userbase, it couldn't bring GTA, mainline Dead Space games, ACreed, etc.
The games that were popular during last gen, skipped Wii.

Snes had the best 3rd party games. Wii didn't.

Only time will tell if their games can sell on Switch.
Don't forget that, tipically, 3rd parties don't bring their AAA games to handheld and on the home consoles, they sell bad.

But point is that itsn PR speech, all of their games that they were shown in January event will be relased this year. Of Course they could show some 2018. games. In January 2013. E3 2013. and E3 2014. they showed games in front because Wii U was doing terrible and they wanted to gave reason to people to buy Wii U and that Wii U start selling, but they dont need to that with Switch.

"Nintendo hasn't shown that they will be able to keep that momentum, not in terms of quality, but also in terms of quantity." You basically don't have any evidence for such a claim, actually all is showing they know what are doing and that they will keep momentum. Of Course that Nintendo showed they can keep momentum, 3 months after launch Switch is still selling great and they can't keep up with demand, that wanst case with GC. And Nintendo very clever scheduled their games so they have one bigger game every month, next month we are getting Splatoon 2 that is big systeme seller game. They almost certain have similar plan for next year too, its crazy to think just because Nintendo did not showed or want still show any 2018. game that they don't have anything for 2018.

No, those games are not "i want it to be true" but games that realistically we can easily see next year based on infos when last games were done buy Nintendo teams. Also most of them were already rumored.

Well bigger instal base could also bring some heavyweights. Even if doesn't bring heavyweights doesn't matter, DS, Wii and 3DS also didnt had most of heavyweights and still have great sales.

I wrote after SNES.

We will see, this is different because you have handheld and home console game in one.