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If they can secure a platform exclusive of Half Life 3 (even if it is timed) for the Scorpio release, they will wipe the floor with Sony. Likewise if Sony can get a platform exclusive of HL3 for PS4, Scorpio wouldn't have a chance.

Microsoft need exlusive games, that definitely wouldn't be able to run on the PS4/Pro for them to have any chance of selling decent numbers. Let's hope they've tested the hardware extensively and there aren't any Red Ring of Death scenarios lurking.