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SecondWar on 08 June 2017
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piopakk said:

Current widespread thinking is that Scorpio really needs to announce some system-seller games, and to surprise with something stellar and unique at E3, for MS to have a chance of Scorpio not being DOA this holiday.

They need an annoucement of:

  • Halo 6 (would amass a lot of xbox360 gamers)
  • A new Splinter Cell? (heard rumor that this could be their surprise game). Last splinter cell released 2013. But Ubisoft owns the IP, and would Ubisoft release a exclusive game for the Xbox  platform, avoiding potential of selling to 60+ million PS4 gamers?
  • A new console friendly Age of Empires RTS? (could be big surprise. A beloved franchise for PC gamers)
  • A new Perfect Dark Zero? (don't know the strength in that IP, but doubtfull it could be a showstopper)
  • A new Fable? (yet Lionhead is closed, don't believe a new AAA Fable is underway)
  • A new Gears? (That franchise has gotten tired, needs a reboot, but don't believe that is happening anytime soon)

 

Halo 6: strong possibility, but only expect a teaser and the game to come 2018.

Splinter Cell: very unlikely as an exclusive for the reason you mentioned, although microsoft could grab the marketing lead.

Age of Empire: given the lacklustre sales of Halo Wars 2, this would be a big risk. 

Gears: Gears of War 4 was the reboot, the launch of a new trilogy and only came out last year. However you feel about the game, there won't be another major release until 2018 at the earliest.

Perfect Dark and Fable seem like dead IPs so Id be very surprised if there was anything major from them.