It's been a really odd election so far. The conservatives entered the election with an absolutely massive average lead (they peaked at 20+ points ahead), but that's since dropped to only 6 points. Not only is that kind of swing highly irregular, but the way it's gone down has been odd too. The conservatives themselves have only dropped about 3 points in that time (despite what i'd argue has been a terribly executed campaign), and are at about the same point as just before calling the election. The rest of Labour's gains seem to be coming from a shift away from the smaller parties, and the pollsters being in total disagreement about what the turnout will look like.
The disagreement about turnout has turned the polls into a total cluster fuck too. We've got a range of 1 point con lead all the way up to 12 points, and just yesterday we had one poll go from a 6 point conservative lead to 1 (11 to 1 if you only count their online polls), and another increase from 6 points to 9. The constituency result predictions are more consistent, 6 of them are predicting around the same numbers (a conservative majority range of 28 to 36), but then the 7th is like "fuck it, it's going to be a hung parliament".
Now, just 4 days before we're due to vote, there's been (what's currently treated as) another terror attack. This only 2 weeks after the last one.
I honestly have no idea how things are going to go down on the 8th, it's been a confusing mess from top to bottom.
