My vote goes to the PS4.
Switch exclusive and 3rd party software is heavily focused on JP support exception being Mario, Splatoon, Skyrim, and Fifa. We'll have to see how Fifa and Skyrim does on the platform to gauge EU support, if sales are strong it'll do fine there, if sale are meh, it's going to fall behind 3DS launch sales. I also don't think the $299 price is going to assist the Switch at all. 3DS started off very well, but the $250 priced killed momentum until it hit $169. Switch is a better value in comparison, but price : performance is always king. There's also the supply issue.
Meanwhile PS4 however, won't have a supply problem, and when it comes to software it has some global megahits coming with Uncharted, Destiny 2, Assassins' Creed, COD, Star Wars Battlefront 2, and Gran Turismo Sport. The big ace PS4 also has is a potential price drop down to $199 (even if it's temporary). That will seal the deal for the PS4's win.
I think this is a peak year for PS4, especially if we see a $199 base model.
NA: 6.5m
EU: 7.5m
JP: 2m
RoW: 2.5m
18.5m
Nintendo will do well, but it completely depends on supply and if sales stay up in NA and EU after the launch hype wears off and the $299 price is now in the hands the less faithful Nintendo gamers.
NA: 4.5m (selling behind PS4 / XBO in their first 2 months, but it has launch sales + holiday sales to help)
EU: 3.5m (it's selling slightly above XBO numbers, which launched in significantly less countries)
JP: 4m - 5m (Japanese support is going to be amazing Year 1 if all games make it)
RoW: 1m
13m - 14m
Might as well do XB since I'm here. Scorpio will help pick up sales, but sales will be on the decline the entire time until Scorpio launches and hopefully a $199 XBOs as well.
NA: 5.5m
EU: 3m
JP: 20k
RoW: 1.5m
10m (their best year of sales, but still behind the competition)
