Japan Sales- Switch Year 1 vs 3DS and Wii U

[Miyamotoo]

the_dengle said:

Miyamotoo said:

Around 4 weeks until Switch hits 1m in Japan. Also only around 6 weeks of sales until Switch take 3DS in same time frame (Switch is 123k behing 3DS in same time frame).

 

It'll be close. If Switch averages 45k weekly it will have very little wiggle room, only about 5k to spare. Then 3DS had a relatively strong week 17 due to the release of Ocarina of Time 3D. So I'd say 6 weeks or less is optimistic, 8 weeks if you want to be a little cautious and allow Switch to drop to the 40-45k range a few times. That's assuming no sudden bursts of new shipments or surprising drops in sales.

3DS also had few weeks below 20k, so around 6 weeks where Switch makes around 20k difference compared to 3DS sales will be enuf.