| Johnw1104 said: The whole "mid gen upgrade" thing complicates things a bit. Will the next iteration really be superior enough to clearly be "next gen", or will it be another less-but-still-substantial upgrade? It only matters when trying to count total sales for a single iteration, but with the strength of the Pro and Scorpio I suspect we'll have to wait a decent amount of time before a true upgrade is affordable. That, coupled with the overwhelming success of the PS4 probably (and justifiably) providing some motive for Sony to let it live a full life and not hurry to PS5, should still lead to some outstanding lifetime console sales. It doesn't have the one big advantage PS2 had (people buying it to be their primary dvd player), but it should still post sales most were imagining impossible for consoles of this gen just half a decade ago. We certainly don't see many "consoles are dead" threads these days lol |
For PS5, I think they are going to do a standard console leap, however, it will only be that in comparison to the OG PS4. I've been saying something along the lines of a Ryzen 1700 and a Vega 10 for the GPU. That would give you about a 6x-6.5x leap (11-12Tflops vs 1.84) over the OG PS4, in terms of GPU, plus a much better CPU. Sure, that's only like a 2.5x-3x leap over the Pro, but that's to be expected with these mid-gen refreshes. If Sony keeps going with those refreshes, we're going to see something like a 22-25Tflops PS5 Pro. I think at that point, we can kiss checkerboarding goodbye.
So, that would still put the PS5 to be here by late 2019. I don't think Sony wants to prolong this gen any longer than 6 years, which is around the normal time for a gen to last. Tech just moves so quickly. Sure, consoles hang around much longer because of the cost benefits, but there's still a limit to how long console gamers want to wait for the next gen. Last gen, 7 years (8 for the 360) seemed like an eternity, with people begging for new HW at the end. A lot of that had to do with Sony and MS wanting to make up for some of the money they lost at the beginning of the gen. This gen, however, doesn't pose that problem, as the PS4 HW was profitable only months after launching. I imagine the XBO wasn't too far behind.
And yea, lol at all those "consoles are dead" threads/articles. I'm sure we'll get them in 2019, when we get closer to next gen. Then, they'll fade away until it's time for the following gen.
