| Cloudman said: If Nintendo products continue to sell poorly, along with Sony's good pace, it could happen, though it'd take several years, if the industry is still making hardware at that point, and not switch to streaming or something. |
it would take like decades if Nintendo remains in the business.
even in recent times- when you combine Wii U + 3DS and compare it to Vita + PS4- yes, on average in the last few years Sony has sold more- but its not been a drastic amount hardware wise.
The irony is people almost seem to imply that Sony made up huge ground in the last decade. the reality is Sony's BIGGEST gain in hardware (in comparison to Nintendo's own sales at the same times) would be from their inception with the PS1 until the end of the PS2 era.
PS1- 100 million sales, Nintendo 64 - like 30 million. Sure, no Sony handheld then, but a massive lead in the one department. Obviously the Gameboy Color sort of balances the totals for that gen though.
and if you take away the PS2/PSP generation then Sony's total hardware amounts nearly cut in HALF. Think about that for a moment, that one generation is almost HALF of Sony's entire hardware sales with 150+ million PS2's sold and 80 million PSP's sold, for a total of 230 million (out of their total of 500 million).
considering the Wii/DS generation Nintendo overall sold by far the most hardware (the DS was a PS2 like beast), and even this latest gen with the 3DS (at, what 65 million sales reported by Nintendo?)- Nintendo just has not been losing that much ground.
when you directly look at, say, Wii U comparison charts- it deceptively seems so. But hardware sales include both handhelds and home consoles. And even this Wii U / 3DS period they've been keeping the hardware tallies from changing that much (in terms of Sony vs Nintendo proportions of total sales). After all this latest gen Sony and Nintendo have been pretty much inverse, with one killing it on the home console market and the other continuing to boss the handheld market.
Like one of the first posts suggests- Nintendo would need to essentially entirely drop from the game for Sony to hope to catch them in hardware. And even if Nintendo did drop out tomorrow it would probably take like 2 more generations for Sony to catch up
the problem is that in even the weakest recent generation Nintendo still has pushed like 75 million+ systems. Sony has done marginally better when you look at both of their hardware markets (with the Vita filling the Wii U role).
Can't emphasize enough that Sony has not really been gaining much in the last few gens on Nintendo in terms of hardware sales but rather that the PS2/PSP era was primarily responsible for a lot of their tally today. 230 million hardware from that gen from Sony versus Nintendo getting like less than half of that with the Gamecube/GBA
