I find the articles talking about Switch outselling the Wii lifetime sales to be just silly. We're one month in! Sure it was a great first month and there is obvious huge demand for the Switch but saying it might outsell the Wii is just ridiculous at this point. I think it has a good shot at outselling the Wii, but it could also only sell like 50 million, who knows.
After like 3 years on the market when the Wii was still selling record breaking numbers it looked like it could sell 150 million, but then the sales suddenly dried up and it limped it's way to just over 100 million as the falling prices of the 360 and PS3 kept them going long enough to actually both have really good lifetime sales even though the Wii had been destroying them in sales for the first few years.
Anyway, given that the Switch should combine their handheld and console markets, and it isn't a confusing and kinda awkward concept like the Wii U, I think it'll bring it the majority of 3DS players eventually and the console-side of its market will be a lot bigger than the Wii U. Not to mention I think it'll bring in a lot of new people like the Wii did, though far less than the Wii. For example, the last two consoles I bought were the Wii and then 360. I had no interest in buying any of the current consoles. I kinda assumed I'd never buy a system again, but after Nintendo announced the Switch that ignited my desire to buy a console for the first time in like 8 years, and I'll definitely get a Switch in the next year after Mario comes out.
Predicting it to outsell the Wii after its first month is dumb. But I could definitely see it selling over 100 million if they get consistent third party support, don't have game droughts, and in a couple years lower the price down to low 200's to a handheld-like price tag that will get the 3DS owners to switch (pun intended!)
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