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poklane said:
Not exact numbers, but the following prediction over on NeoGAF was the closest apparently:
PS4: 410k
XB1: 210k

Lines up with the narrative I been spouting. Obviously the PS4 is below 404k (down yoy) and very closely down yoy at that due to the deals, but the XB1 number for the top 3 predictors is closer to this one because they were late on their price cut and it was a reaction to bad sales.