A lot of this will depend on what Switch shipments are. Assuming that the Wall Street Journal was accurate, Nintendo have actually shipped 2.5 million Switch units, then Zelda could be off to a very strong start. I will assume an attach rate of roughly 80%.
So, if Switch shipments hit 2.5 million, Zelda at 2 million on Switch.
If Switch shipments are at 2 million, Zelda at 1.6 million.
The Wii U version is interesting. Sales are at roughly 75k in Japan, and there were reports of 400k pre-orders in the States. European/Australasian shipments of Wii U are roughly 60% of North American shipments, so I'll use that to estimate Wii U shipments to 'Other' territories.
Based on these bits of information, I'd guess Wii U Zelda shipments are around 900k: 500k to the Americas, 300k to Europe and 100k to Japan.
So Zelda will be somewhere in the region of 2.5 to 2.9 million combined, is my guess.
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