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Soundwave said:
se7en7thre3 said:

I  see a parallel between DS phat to DS lite/ DSi/XL for the Switch's future.  After  these gen 1 switches get phased out, I'd say in 1.5 yrs max, we'll see at least 2 more new Siwtch models that take advantage of the X2 performance.  Not sure about the order, but definitely a $249 Switch LITE  w/non removable controls & ac adapter (dock w/hdmi & controller sold separately) featuring a 5 in. 720p  screen. This model gets improved battery life obviously.  But also a 7.5 inch XL model (that remains aligned & compatible w/the joycons by simply removing the bezel from new screen), would improve tabletop mode & feature a 1080p screen = runs at full clock speed in any mode.  

As far as next gen Switch that should be 7nm in 2021, with a 1440p screen that upclocks in dock to  ninty 4k.

I'm thinking more like 

Tegra X1 20nm (2015) - 394 GFLOP docked (500 GF theoretical)

Tegra X2 14nm (2017) - 788 GFLOP docked (?) (1 TFLOP theoretical)

Tegra X3 7nm (2019) - 1.57 TF docked (2 TFLOP theoretical)

Switch 2 using Tegra X3 in fall 2020 (?)

Not sure if you mean next gen Switch release in 2020 or manufactured, but I think NS should be able to hit the 5 yr minimum (i realize 4 yr span gba to ds).  On top of that, after a successful launch with great demand etc I think Nintendo will be comfortable releasing  in March going forward, as its a shorter calendar leading up to the holidays while avoiding the  2-3 month lull that usually follows .  would also make sense If PS5 and Xbox Goliath launch in late 2020 to avoid the wallet competition.

But regardless, 4k should be the next target for Nintendo 1st party games & that means a decently powered base  to clock up from ie quad HD/1440p screen portable .  NVidia will have the tech available I have no doubt, the Xavier volta has double the cores of the X1/X2 and its power rated around what you have listed.  http://wccftech.com/nvidia-xavier-soc-tegra-volta-gpu-announced/ that tech will be available later this yr, so I think nintendo can get a half step above that in several years without being too "cutting edge", so maybe 768 cores on 7nm tech.  Should easily eclipse 2 tf and the modern architecture would give nice performance for Nintendo styled 4k games.